Ensemble VOG Forecasts for Kilauea

 

Steve Businger, Roland Draxler, John Porter

 

Maui High Performance Computing Center Research Abstracts

 

Introduction - The transport and dispersion of emissions of SO2 and SO4 from Kilauea are modeled in a probabilistic rather than deterministic approach using ensemble methods. These pollutants can form volcanic fog (VOG) which, depending upon meteorological conditions, may have health or visibility consequences. The probability results permit local air quality planners to account for model errors in their decision process.

 

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